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Mathematics · May / June 2022 · Paper 61 · Question 4

YMA01

As printed in the paper

The question as text

4. The events H and W are such that P(H) = 3 P(H ∪ W) = 3 8 4 Given that H and W are independent,

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  • 4(a)[4]

    H

    W

    H

    W

    H

    W

    H

    W

    H

    W

    H

    3

    (

    )

    P(

    ∩

    )

    =

    ×

    P

    H

    W

    W

    P(

    H

    '

    ∩

    W

    )

    =

    P(

    H

    ') P(

    ×

    W

    )

    8

    3

    3

    3

    3

    5 P

    (

    )

    (

    )

    (

    )

    =

    +

    P

    −

    P

    =

    W

    W

    W

    4

    8

    8

    8

    8

    3

    3

    (

    )

    P(

    W =

    )

    *

    P

    W =

    *

    5

    5

    −

    +

    3

    1

    9

    1

    1

    (

    )

    P N

    ′

    |

    =

    8

    15

    or

    40

    12

    or 1

    −

    15

  • 4(b)[2]

    H

    M1

    3

    3

    3

    8

    8

    8

    37

    =

    = awrt 0.822

    A1

    45

  • 4(c)[5]

    Notes

    for use of P(

    )

    P(

    )

    (

    )

    P(

    )

    (a)

    M1

    H

    ∪

    W

    =

    H

    +

    P W

    −

    H

    ∩

    W

    (with at least one value correctly substituted)

    or use of P(

    H

    '

    ∩

    W

    )

    =

    P(

    H

    ∪

    W

    )

    −

    P(

    H

    )

    (with at least one value correctly substituted)

    for use of P(

    ∩

    )

    =

    P(

    ) P(

    ×

    )

    or use of P(

    '

    ∩

    )

    =

    P(

    ') P(

    ×

    M1

    H

    W

    H

    W

    H

    W

    H

    a correct equation in P(W) (allow W or x here)

    A1

    A1cso* Correct solution ending with P(W)= 3

    5 with no wrong working seen. Dep. on all previous marks.

    or 3

    3

    9

    A method which uses 3

    ×

    =

    can score maximum M1M1A0A0.

    NB

    5

    5

    8

    40

    (b)

    3

    x×

    3

    p where

    For 3

    0

    <

    p

    <

    use of independence is M0 e.g.

    8

    M1

    8

    3

    8

    8

    awrt 0.822

    A1

    H′

    (c)

    3 circles labelled. Either N inside H or allow as intersecting circles with P(

    N

    ∩

    )

    =

    B1

    not allow blank space to be considered 0. Condone missing box for this mark.

    Allow all 3 circles overlapping with all zeros correctly labelled.

    3

    3

    9

    P(

    )

    For

    H

    ∩

    W

    =

    ×

    =

    seen or correctly placed in Venn diagram.

    M1

    8

    5

    40

    For their 3

    9

    3

    −

    "

    "

    =

    " "

    (may be implied by the regions in their P(W) adding to 0.6)

    M1

    5

    40

    8

    For their 3

    9

    1

    1

    −

    "

    "

    −

    =

    "

    "

    M1

    8

    40

    15

    12

    Fully correct diagram with ¼ and box and correct probabilities (allow exact decimal equivalents)

    A1

    (

    )

    E

    2

    2

    2

    0.25

    3

    2

    0.3

    4

    2

    0.15

    5

    2

    0.1 6

    2

    0.2

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