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Mathematics · Oct / Nov 2024 · Paper 61 · Question 8

YMA01

As printed in the paper

The question as text

8. An orchard produces apples. The weights, A grams, of its apples are normally distributed with mean μ grams and standard deviation σ grams. It is known that P(A < 162) = 0.1 and P(162 < A < 175) = 0.7508

Read automatically from the paper; the printed page above is exact.

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  • 8(a)[5]

    or 175

    −

    μ

    1.04

    (Calculator gives 1.03987…)

    =

    μ

    −

    1.2816

    =

    162

    μ

    +

    1.04

    =

    175

    2.3216

    13

    =

    =

    5.5995...

    awrt 5.6

    μ=

    169.1764...

    awrt 169

  • 8(b)[5]

    Q =

    208.26

    or

    Q

    −

    Q

    =

    13.48

    1

    3

    1

    221.74 1.5(221.74

    +

    −

    '

    ')[ 241.96]

    =

    or

    '

    ' 1.5(221.74

    −

    −

    '

    ')[ 188.04]

    =

    Q

    Q

    Q

    1

    1

    1

    Probability of an outlier

    1 – Probability of not an outlier

    P

    (

    '241.96'

    )

    B

    >

    =

    '241.96' 215

    −

    [

    ]

    P

    >

    =

    P(

    >

    2.70)

    Z

    Z

    (

    )

    10

    P '188.04'

    <

    <

    '241.96'

    =

    B

    or

    '188.04' 215

    −

    '241.96' 215

    −

    (

    )

    P

    <

    Z

    <

    P

    B

    <

    '188.04'

    =

    10

    10

    '188.04' 215

    −

    [

    ]

    [

    ]

    =

    P( 2.70)

    −

    <

    <

    P(2.70)

    P

    <

    =

    P(

    <−

    2.70)

    Z

    Z

    Z

    10

    or

    =

    0.0035

    (Calculator gives 0.0034883…)

    = 0.993 (Calculator gives 0.99298…)

    P(Outlier)

    2 '0.0035'

    P(Outlier)

    1 '0.993'

    = ×

    = −

    =

    0.007

    (Calculator gives 0.006976…)

    = 0.007 (Calculator gives 0.007017…)

    awrt 0.007

    awrt 0.007

    Notes

    For standardising with μand and setting = to a z value with

    z >

    1

    (a)

    M1

    A1

    For one correct equation in any form with correct z value as given or better

    A1

    For a 2nd correct equation in any form allow 2dp or better for the z value

    Dependent on previous M1. For solving their 2 linear simultaneous equations (Can be implied by

    dM1

    both correct answers) If answers are incorrect then we need to see evidence of correct working

    μ=

    awrt169

    =

    awrt 5.6

    A1

    For

    and

    For

    Q =

    208.26

    or

    −

    =

    13.48

    Do not accept rounded values

    (b)

    B1

    Q

    Q

    1

    3

    1

    For a correct method for finding 1 outlier limit, ft their

    Q or their IQR. You will need to check

    M1

    1

    that these are correct if no working shown.

    Dependent on previous M1. For standardising using their limit(s), 215 and 10 (allow ±) May be

    dM1

    implied by ± awrt 2.70 or awrt 0.0035 or awrt 0.993 or final answer of awrt 0.007

    If using the LHS of the MS: for multiplying their probability by 2

    or

    M1

    If using the RHS of the MS: for 1 – their probability

    May be implied by awrt 0.007

    A1

    awrt 0.007

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